Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.503289e-05 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000065
2025-04-27 1.875160e-05 0.000025 0.000032 0.000041 0.000052 0.000064 0.000079
2025-05-04 1.465754e-05 0.000022 0.000030 0.000041 0.000055 0.000071 0.000092
2025-05-11 1.258523e-05 0.000020 0.000030 0.000043 0.000060 0.000081 0.000108
2025-05-18 1.017618e-05 0.000018 0.000028 0.000043 0.000063 0.000087 0.000120
2025-05-25 7.807893e-06 0.000015 0.000025 0.000041 0.000062 0.000090 0.000127
2025-06-01 6.196297e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000040 0.000063 0.000094 0.000136
2025-06-08 5.047957e-06 0.000012 0.000022 0.000040 0.000065 0.000098 0.000145
2025-06-15 4.138417e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000039 0.000066 0.000103 0.000155
2025-06-22 3.323825e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000067 0.000106 0.000163
2025-06-29 2.540627e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000037 0.000066 0.000108 0.000169
2025-07-06 1.826443e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000035 0.000065 0.000108 0.000172
2025-07-13 1.295522e-06 0.000006 0.000015 0.000034 0.000064 0.000110 0.000180
2025-07-20 9.772707e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000033 0.000066 0.000115 0.000191
2025-07-27 7.344765e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000033 0.000068 0.000121 0.000203
2025-08-03 6.428049e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000035 0.000073 0.000131 0.000222
2025-08-10 4.682040e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000035 0.000074 0.000136 0.000233
2025-08-17 2.874168e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000033 0.000073 0.000137 0.000239
2025-08-24 1.824539e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000032 0.000073 0.000139 0.000247
2025-08-31 1.185816e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000032 0.000074 0.000144 0.000257
2025-09-07 7.491483e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000032 0.000075 0.000148 0.000268
2025-09-14 4.190817e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000031 0.000076 0.000152 0.000278
2025-09-21 1.781461e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000030 0.000075 0.000153 0.000283